Weekend | đź“Š Giants to Cover +16.5? Weekend Analysis Inside

NFL weekend insights—Commanders, Broncos, and Giants ATS picks.

Standing Record 76-28-2

Sports Corner Daily’s Weekend Edition (with đź‘€ Results)

For those of you that are new subscribers to Sports Corner Daily, our weekend edition highlights the best plays for Saturday and Sunday. Typically, the first section includes a recap of the previous day's performances. However, the weekend is focused solely on business. You can find our top weekend plays below. Don't forget to check back for Monday's edition, which will recap all plays from Friday to Sunday, along with our usual Monday selections.

Saturday’s LIVE Bets: 

NCAAF: Navy Midshipmen @ Army Black Knights

Over 38.5

Analysis:

While it feels unusual to predict an over for the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy game, both teams have had strong offensive performances in 2024, averaging over 32 points per game. Army, in particular, has impressed, especially after their dominant win in the AAC Championship Game. Expect a solid showing from Army, who is predicted to win 27-17 against Navy, continuing the tradition of singing their alma maters afterward. The public likes the Over with 66% in favor of going over the total points line.

NCAAF: Jackson State Tigers @ South Carolina State Bulldogs

SC State to win

Analysis:

The MEAC Champions have a slight edge in the Celebration Bowl due to not having to compete in a conference championship game, allowing for an extra week of rest and preparation compared to the SWAC representative. This trend has historically benefited the MEAC team, and strong expectations are placed on the South Carolina State Bulldogs in this matchup. We will ride with the public on this one at 60% having confidence in the bulldogs to come up victorious.

Sunday’s LIVE Bets: 

NFL: Washington Commanders @ New Orleans Saints

Washington - 7

Analysis:

This marks the last game on our board, and it's unusual for me to give a 7-point line to a road team. I expect it might result in a push, especially since the Saints are starting Jake Haener, who has limited experience with just 14 completions out of 29 attempts as a fourth-round rookie. In contrast, the Commanders are coming off a bye and are vying for a wild card spot, giving them a considerable advantage, apart from playing away. It’s also a special game for Commanders rookie QB Jayden Daniels, the 2023 Heisman winner from LSU. The public is coming in at 68% in favor of the commanders to cover.

NFL: Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos

Denver to win

Analysis:

Both teams are coming off their bye weeks. Given Bo Nix's superior performance as a passer compared to Anthony Richardson, who has a low completion rate of 47.4%, the current betting line seems low. A win for Denver would nearly secure a wild-card spot, as they sit seventh in the AFC, while Indianapolis is eighth, with Miami also in the mix for that spot. I'm placing my bet early since I'm unsure how long the line will stay below -200 and there likely won’t be any injury concerns with both teams rested. The public is heavy on this one showing 91% favoring the Broncos are too much for the Saints to handle.

NFL: Baltimore Ravens @ New York Giants

N.Y. Giants +16.5

Analysis:

The Giants' decision to start QB Tommy DeVito over Drew Lock resulted in a significant shift in the betting spread, making it one of the highest for a home underdog this century. This seems surprising, as DeVito has outperformed Lock. Additionally, the Giants' defense has performed reasonably well, considering the offense's limited time on the field. Although double-digit underdogs struggled early in the season, they've recently been covering the spread successfully. With eight of the Giants' 11 losses coming by much smaller margins than the current spread, the situation feels excessive. The public agrees that the wide spread of 16.5 is just too much with 59% believing in the Giants to cover.

NFL: New York Jets @ Jacksonville Jaguars

N.Y. Jets - 3

Analysis:

The Jets are 3-10, with seven losses by a total of just 25 points. The return of Sauce Gardner should help them contain Jacksonville's top player, Brian Thomas. Meanwhile, the Jaguars have struggled offensively, scoring no more than 10 points in any of Mac Jones' three starts. The Jets are coming off a strong offensive showing, with 400 yards against a solid Miami defense. The Jets are also favored by the public with 57% of the bets.

NFL: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ L.A. Chargers

L.A. Chargers -2.5

Analysis:

The Bucs will be without star safety Antoine Winfield (knee) this Sunday, leaving them without their top two safeties, as Jordan Whitehead was placed on IR on November 29. It's uncertain if rookie RB Bucky Irving will play. The Chargers are expected to have their top wide receiver, Ladd McConkey, back. Quarterback Justin Herbert is likely to exploit a Tampa defense that allows 253.4 passing yards per game, the third most in the league. Although the Bucs have secured wins against the Giants, Panthers, and Raiders in the last three weeks, facing Jim Harbaugh's Chargers will be a significant challenge. The Public is only coming in at 24% in favor of the Chargers to cover so we are against the majority here. 

Have a great weekend!

As always - Bet Smart, Bet Safe, Follow your strategy and let's win together! 

Good luck,

The Sports Corner Daily Team